Wednesday, September 3, 2008

Obama might surprise.

Obama is losing his place in the polls, but we may be in for a surprise. The thing about polls is that they are only as good as their models. If we have any significant changes in the voting bloc this time around, the polls become invalid. If young people show up to vote - which they always say they will and they never actually do - that wins it for Obama. If black people show up to vote - which they always say they will and they never actually do - that wins it for Obama. If both these groups show up, you get a surprise landside.

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